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So I go from here thinking maybe a generator will not save me and see this NOAA site this eve
AS THE CYCLONE MOVES AROUND THE
SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT LIES
EAST-WEST ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND FLORIDA. HOWEVER...AFTER
THAT...THE FORECAST BECOMES A LITTLE MURKY. ALL OF THE MODELS
WEAKEN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE RIDGE OVER FLORIDA AS A SHARP
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. DIGS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO BY DAYS 4 AND 5...BEFORE LIFTING OUT SLOWLY
TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER THAT. SINCE DENNIS IS A LARGER THAN AVERAGE
TROPICAL CYCLONE THAT IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN
DAYS 3-5...THE LARGE OUTER CIRCULATION COULD ERODE THE RIDGE EVEN
MORE...RESULTING IN WEAKER STEERING CURRENTS THAN THE 5-8 KT THAT
THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS ALMOST IDENTICAL
TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS ALONG THE EXTREME EASTERN..OR
RIGHT...SIDE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A VERY LOW SHEAR AND HIGH SST
ENVIRONMENT..WHICH UNFORTUNATELY ARE PRIME CONDITIONS FOR PRODUCING
INTENSE HURRICANES. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS MUCH HIGHER
THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECASTS...BUT IS LESS THAN THE SHIPS AND GFDL
INTENSITY MODELS...WHICH BRING DENNIS TO 108 KT IN 96 HOURS AND 113
KT IN 60 HOURS...RESPECTIVELY.
FORECASTER STEWART
I am sorry but this is worse than the three word thread to understand really,,, at least I understand custard.
AS THE CYCLONE MOVES AROUND THE
SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT LIES
EAST-WEST ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND FLORIDA. HOWEVER...AFTER
THAT...THE FORECAST BECOMES A LITTLE MURKY. ALL OF THE MODELS
WEAKEN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE RIDGE OVER FLORIDA AS A SHARP
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. DIGS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO BY DAYS 4 AND 5...BEFORE LIFTING OUT SLOWLY
TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER THAT. SINCE DENNIS IS A LARGER THAN AVERAGE
TROPICAL CYCLONE THAT IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN
DAYS 3-5...THE LARGE OUTER CIRCULATION COULD ERODE THE RIDGE EVEN
MORE...RESULTING IN WEAKER STEERING CURRENTS THAN THE 5-8 KT THAT
THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS ALMOST IDENTICAL
TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS ALONG THE EXTREME EASTERN..OR
RIGHT...SIDE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A VERY LOW SHEAR AND HIGH SST
ENVIRONMENT..WHICH UNFORTUNATELY ARE PRIME CONDITIONS FOR PRODUCING
INTENSE HURRICANES. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS MUCH HIGHER
THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECASTS...BUT IS LESS THAN THE SHIPS AND GFDL
INTENSITY MODELS...WHICH BRING DENNIS TO 108 KT IN 96 HOURS AND 113
KT IN 60 HOURS...RESPECTIVELY.
FORECASTER STEWART
I am sorry but this is worse than the three word thread to understand really,,, at least I understand custard.