Originally posted by Evil Dave
Originally posted by vincegamer
Originally posted by Rodnik
It stands to reason that if supposed experts can\'t predict the weather for next week with any certainty...how the hell do they expect us to believe they can predict it for the next 100 years with any certainty?
Simple answer is that long-term trends are much more reliable, kind of in the way you can fairly well predict how a group will behave but an individual person is unpredictable.
However, that doesn\'t mean they can\'t be wrong. Look at geologists predicting California earthquakes. They made some pretty stupid assumptions that once they realized severely cut back the expected number and severity of earthquakes.
Sure similar to summer and winter, I can predict with reasonable certainty that summer will be warmer than winter, because I and others have observed this to be true.
Observation is the key. Observation leads to credibility.
Name me one observer of the last Global Warming. Name me one scientist who can truly, and credibly be called a Global Warming expert.
The only reliable observer of the trend in our climate is historical data, which shows a steady rise and decline of global temperature with fluxes in between, with or without Man.